News
Bull
Volatility: 2/5
Fed Can Avoid Hiking on Cooler Data, Economist Roth Says
August 26, 2026
·
bloomberg
·
75% confidence
Summary
Wolfe Research economist says cooler data gives Fed cover to skip September hike.
AI Analysis
Expectations of no Fed hike support equities, especially rate-sensitive growth sectors, while reducing tightening risk. Cooler data may signal slower growth but avoids policy error, net positive for broad market.
Direction
Bull
Volatility
2/5 - Low
AI Confidence
75%
Affected Stocks
DHI
NVDA
AMT
NEE
JPM
XOM
CAT
Likely Winners
DHI (D.R. Horton)
NVDA (Nvidia)
AMT (American Tower)
NEE (NextEra Energy)
Likely Losers
JPM (JPMorgan Chase)
XOM (Exxon Mobil)
CAT (Caterpillar)
Suggested Action
Buy TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF) to benefit from falling yields
Recommended Actions
- Buy TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF) to benefit from falling yields
- Add QQQ for growth/tech exposure ahead of a potential Fed pause
- Buy DHI (D.R. Horton) to play rate-sensitive housing strength
- Hedge energy exposure by buying XLE puts or shorting XOM
- Monitor data: watch next CPI and jobs reports for confirmation of cooling trend